Mercedes have had eight front-row lock-outs so far this year, but not in Singapore. Nonetheless, there’s a decent chance they will be running first and second soon after the start in Singapore.
Daniel Ricciardo split the two silver cars in qualifying, but second place will be on the less clean side of the grid. And as Red Bull have opted to start the race on the harder super-soft tyres, Lewis Hamilton will have a strong chance of beating him to turn one. Assuming, of course, Hamilton gets away better than he did in Italy.
If Red Bull can finish the first lap with at least one of the Mercedes behind them it will do their victory chances a lot of good. However their alternative strategy offers their best hope. They should be able to run a longer first stint than Mercedes, meaning they have a better chance of avoiding traffic when they eventually pit.
Key to this is how quickly the field spreads out behind them. An early Safety Car which bunches the field up again is something Mercedes will not want to see.
The Safety Car has never failed to appear during previous runnings of the Singapore Grand Prix. Due to the length of the track Safety Car periods take a long time in Singapore, and so race control may prefer to use the Virtual Safety Car whenever possible.
One driver who is counting on them to make up for a disappointing qualifying session is Sebastian Vettel. The only upside to his Q1 exit with a broken anti-roll bar is he now has plenty of fresh tyres for the race. With a few well-timed Safety Car appearances he could recover a decent points finish.
Pirelli expect most teams to use two-stop strategies in the race. Crucial to this will be at what point in the race they can put on a set of the soft tyres and run until the end. Last year Romain Grosjean did 33 laps on one set of softs, but his pace dropped off over the final laps. Drivers therefore may not feel comfortable about attempting to run to the end until half-distance in the 61-lap race. Though of course there is always the temptation to gamble on a slightly earlier stop in the hope that the Safety Car makes an appearance later on.
The other dimension to the Red Bull-Mercedes fight is the championship situation. Rosberg can’t afford to throw away any points, but losing them to Ricciardo is at least preferable to losing them to Hamilton. And if the championship contenders finish the race in the same order they start it, Rosberg will move back into the points lead.
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Qualifying times in full
Driver | Car | Q1 | Q2 (vs Q1) | Q3 (vs Q2) | |
1 | Nico Rosberg | Mercedes | 1’45.316 | 1’43.020 (-2.296) | 1’42.584 (-0.436) |
2 | Daniel Ricciardo | Red Bull | 1’44.255 | 1’43.933 (-0.322) | 1’43.115 (-0.818) |
3 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes | 1’45.167 | 1’43.471 (-1.696) | 1’43.288 (-0.183) |
4 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull | 1’45.036 | 1’44.112 (-0.924) | 1’43.328 (-0.784) |
5 | Kimi Raikkonen | Ferrari | 1’44.964 | 1’44.159 (-0.805) | 1’43.540 (-0.619) |
6 | Carlos Sainz Jnr | Toro Rosso | 1’45.499 | 1’44.493 (-1.006) | 1’44.197 (-0.296) |
7 | Daniil Kvyat | Toro Rosso | 1’45.291 | 1’44.475 (-0.816) | 1’44.469 (-0.006) |
8 | Nico Hulkenberg | Force India | 1’46.081 | 1’44.737 (-1.344) | 1’44.479 (-0.258) |
9 | Fernando Alonso | McLaren | 1’45.373 | 1’44.653 (-0.720) | 1’44.553 (-0.100) |
10 | Sergio Perez | Force India | 1’45.204 | 1’44.703 (-0.501) | 1’44.582 (-0.121) |
11 | Valtteri Bottas | Williams | 1’46.086 | 1’44.740 (-1.346) | |
12 | Felipe Massa | Williams | 1’46.056 | 1’44.991 (-1.065) | |
13 | Jenson Button | McLaren | 1’45.262 | 1’45.144 (-0.118) | |
14 | Esteban Gutierrez | Haas | 1’45.465 | 1’45.593 (+0.128) | |
15 | Romain Grosjean | Haas | 1’45.609 | 1’45.723 (+0.114) | |
16 | Marcus Ericsson | Sauber | 1’46.427 | 1’47.827 (+1.400) | |
17 | Kevin Magnussen | Renault | 1’46.825 | ||
18 | Felipe Nasr | Sauber | 1’46.860 | ||
19 | Jolyon Palmer | Renault | 1’46.960 | ||
20 | Pascal Wehrlein | Manor | 1’47.667 | ||
21 | Esteban Ocon | Manor | 1’48.296 | ||
22 | Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari | 1’49.116 |
Sector times
Driver | Sector 1 | Sector 2 | Sector 3 |
---|---|---|---|
Nico Rosberg | 27.391 (1) | 39.297 (1) | 35.886 (2) |
Daniel Ricciardo | 27.552 (3) | 39.671 (2) | 35.867 (1) |
Lewis Hamilton | 27.463 (2) | 39.831 (4) | 35.927 (4) |
Max Verstappen | 27.727 (5) | 39.709 (3) | 35.892 (3) |
Kimi Raikkonen | 27.630 (4) | 39.915 (5) | 35.995 (5) |
Carlos Sainz Jnr | 27.955 (12) | 40.017 (6) | 36.225 (6) |
Daniil Kvyat | 27.954 (11) | 40.091 (7) | 36.226 (7) |
Nico Hulkenberg | 27.796 (7) | 40.143 (10) | 36.508 (10) |
Fernando Alonso | 27.965 (13) | 40.136 (9) | 36.393 (8) |
Sergio Perez | 27.785 (6) | 40.194 (11) | 36.471 (9) |
Valtteri Bottas | 27.853 (9) | 40.113 (8) | 36.753 (14) |
Felipe Massa | 27.833 (8) | 40.406 (13) | 36.723 (13) |
Jenson Button | 27.993 (14) | 40.224 (12) | 36.687 (12) |
Esteban Gutierrez | 27.923 (10) | 40.485 (14) | 36.677 (11) |
Romain Grosjean | 28.046 (15) | 40.527 (15) | 36.834 (15) |
Marcus Ericsson | 28.354 (17) | 40.972 (16) | 37.101 (17) |
Kevin Magnussen | 28.505 (19) | 40.985 (17) | 37.102 (18) |
Felipe Nasr | 28.442 (18) | 41.173 (19) | 37.245 (19) |
Jolyon Palmer | 28.565 (21) | 41.074 (18) | 37.026 (16) |
Pascal Wehrlein | 28.324 (16) | 41.674 (21) | 37.669 (20) |
Esteban Ocon | 28.528 (20) | 41.636 (20) | 38.013 (21) |
Sebastian Vettel | 28.719 (22) | 41.816 (22) | 38.264 (22) |
Speed trap
Pos | Driver | Car | Engine | Speed (kph/mph) | Gap |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Pascal Wehrlein | Manor | Mercedes | 314.5 (195.4) | |
2 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes | Mercedes | 314.5 (195.4) | -0.0 |
3 | Felipe Massa | Williams | Mercedes | 313.8 (195.0) | -0.7 |
4 | Valtteri Bottas | Williams | Mercedes | 313.7 (194.9) | -0.8 |
5 | Nico Rosberg | Mercedes | Mercedes | 312.8 (194.4) | -1.7 |
6 | Esteban Ocon | Manor | Mercedes | 312.4 (194.1) | -2.1 |
7 | Sergio Perez | Force India | Mercedes | 311.4 (193.5) | -3.1 |
8 | Nico Hulkenberg | Force India | Mercedes | 311.3 (193.4) | -3.2 |
9 | Kimi Raikkonen | Ferrari | Ferrari | 308.8 (191.9) | -5.7 |
10 | Felipe Nasr | Sauber | Ferrari | 308.7 (191.8) | -5.8 |
11 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull | TAG Heuer | 308.2 (191.5) | -6.3 |
12 | Fernando Alonso | McLaren | Honda | 307.6 (191.1) | -6.9 |
13 | Daniel Ricciardo | Red Bull | TAG Heuer | 307.2 (190.9) | -7.3 |
14 | Romain Grosjean | Haas | Ferrari | 306.5 (190.5) | -8.0 |
15 | Marcus Ericsson | Sauber | Ferrari | 306.3 (190.3) | -8.2 |
16 | Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari | Ferrari | 306.2 (190.3) | -8.3 |
17 | Esteban Gutierrez | Haas | Ferrari | 306.2 (190.3) | -8.3 |
18 | Jenson Button | McLaren | Honda | 305.6 (189.9) | -8.9 |
19 | Daniil Kvyat | Toro Rosso | Ferrari | 304.3 (189.1) | -10.2 |
20 | Kevin Magnussen | Renault | Renault | 303.4 (188.5) | -11.1 |
21 | Jolyon Palmer | Renault | Renault | 302.2 (187.8) | -12.3 |
22 | Carlos Sainz Jnr | Toro Rosso | Ferrari | 300.1 (186.5) | -14.4 |
Remaining tyres sets per driver
Soft | Super-soft | Ultra-soft | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Driver | Team | New | Used | New | Used | New | Used |
Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Nico Rosberg | Mercedes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Kimi Raikkonen | Ferrari | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Felipe Massa | Williams | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Valtteri Bottas | Williams | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Daniel Ricciardo | Red Bull | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Max Verstappen | Red Bull | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Nico Hulkenberg | Force India | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Sergio Perez | Force India | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Kevin Magnussen | Renault | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Jolyon Palmer | Renault | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Daniil Kvyat | Toro Rosso | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Carlos Sainz Jnr | Toro Rosso | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Marcus Ericsson | Sauber | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Felipe Nasr | Sauber | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Fernando Alonso | McLaren | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Jenson Button | McLaren | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Pascal Wehrlein | Manor | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Rio Haryanto | Manor | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Romain Grosjean | Haas | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Esteban Gutierrez | Haas | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Over to you
Will Red Bull give Mercedes a serious fight in the Singapore Grand Prix? And where will Vettel finish from the back of the grid?
Share your views on the Singapore Grand Prix in the comments.
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hahostolze (@hahostolze)
17th September 2016, 17:44
Verstappen long runs have been the best of anyone all weekend long. Qualifying was inopportune but fourth still gives a decent chance of a win. Had trouble with the ultra soft tyres but will do wonders on the super soft. Expect two Red Bulls on the podium, probably one on the top step.
Guybrush Threepwood
17th September 2016, 22:16
I suggest you take a look at FP2 where Ricciardo’s long runs were much better than Verstappen’s.
hahostolze (@hahostolze)
18th September 2016, 6:53
I did. They weren’t.
ES
18th September 2016, 7:44
Guybrush….no they weren’t…..on the US Ricciardo was AVG 0,1 faster then Max…..on the SS Max was AVG 0,4 faster then Ricciardo
Billys (@bilarxos)
17th September 2016, 20:25
The top 5 broke Vettel’s last year pole lap record !
iAltair
17th September 2016, 23:20
Fastest lap of the track not exactly means Lap record. Lap record are only official timing recorded from the race.
Bernie
18th September 2016, 6:17
Rosberg did beat Vettel’s 2013 fastest ever lap around Singapore, which does mean that over one lap these cars are now faster here as well. There cannot be too many circuits left where the V6s are still slower than the 2011+ V8s (i.e. both using the designed-to-degrade tyres).
PorscheF1 (@xtwl)
18th September 2016, 7:26
Vettel his lap was set during the race, Rosberg during qualifying.
On top of that the configuration has changed. Ricciardo holds the record on this lay-out with a 1:50.041. This will very likely be broken today now that both Mercedes cars are in top shape. Vettel however drove a 1:48.574 on the original lay-out.
PorscheF1 (@xtwl)
18th September 2016, 7:29
Vettel his lap was set during the race, Rosberg during qualifying.
On top of that the configuration has changed. Ricciardo holds the record on this lay-out with a 1:50.041. This will very likely be broken today now that both Mercedes cars are in top shape. Vettel however drove a 1:48.574 on the original lay-out.
Besides Vettel drove a pole lap off 1:42.841 (2013) on harder tyres than Rosberg did his pole lap yesterday which was a 1:42.584. Ricciardo is again back in the 1:43s, it’s pretty safe to say Rosberg his lap yesterday was pretty quick.
Guybrush Threepwood
18th September 2016, 4:36
They do have the Ultra-soft tyre available which they did not last year.
iAltair
17th September 2016, 23:23
Correction. I missed out reading “pole lap” record. I read it as lap record.
Mike Dee (@mike-dee)
17th September 2016, 23:52
Interesting. Mercedes has no new super soft tyres, but two new sets of soft tyres. They have one used set of super softs – how many laps has that run already? Are they maybe planning to do a one-stop (ultrasoft-soft)? How did the soft tyre perform in practice?
Also will be interesting what Vettel does from the back. In a race without safety car, I think he might be able to break into the top 10 (not by much though). He will be hoping for well-timed safety cars though so that he could end up higher; I wonder whether he has talked to Briatore already?
Bernie
18th September 2016, 6:31
I’m tipping Seb to run one or two laps to try and gain a few places on the ultra-soft before pitting for the super-soft to go as fast and far as possible in clear air before the mid-field can pit and come out in front of him. This could get him to about 10th on track before 2nd stop for new softs and see how far they take him. Being able to do 2 stints on softs might have been handy to ensure getting to the end, so a 3-stop is very possible. Maybe the Ferrari can keep the supers alive for as long as the Mercs do with the softs. Kimi will be hoping so.
Of course a lot depends on accidents and safety cars.
Thomson (@fish123)
18th September 2016, 2:04
I think Mercedes may be forced into a 3-stop (U – S – S – SS) or then may really struggle towards the end of the race with drop off.
Where as Red Bull will have an easy 2-stop, however they might split the strategies, i.e. SS – SS – S / SS – S – SS
My prediction is Ricciardo for the win, Rosberg 2nd, Verstappen 3rd, Hamilton 4th
bogaaaa (@nosehair)
18th September 2016, 4:44
Ric for the win Ves will be taken out by a reptile
BasCB (@bascb)
18th September 2016, 10:35
Hm, does the heavy rain that fell in between mean there is less difference between the two sides of the grid? And how will it affect the tyres – will the USofts suffer more, will the soft be a better prospect now?
Steven Robertson (@emu55)
18th September 2016, 10:57
Trying not to be pessimistic, but if Rosberg comes out of turn 1 in the lead it’s effectively race over. Who stands with him on the podium could be the main action point today.
Shahryar Ali
18th September 2016, 11:48
This race has only won by the three current great champions of Formula one over the last 8 years. If Nico needs to change this today, he needs to give his all. I still believe he lacks that extra bit to be a champion. But he has shown already that he is a best driver ever to not win a World championship.