Lando Norris hasn’t had a pole position or a grand prix victory since the season-opening race in Australia.
He’s back at the sharp end of the grid for the Monaco Grand Prix – but a rules change means that may not prove the ticket to victory it has in the past.Here’s your strategy dashboard for Sunday’s 78 laps of Monte-Carlo.
Weather
The warm and dry conditions in Monaco are expected to remain for another day. However Sunday will be somewhat cloudier, which may help keep track temperatures down.
Start
The run to the first corner in Monaco is short, narrow and curved. The pole-winner has a very good chance of making it to turn one in the lead.
Distance from pole position to first braking zone. Source: Mercedes
Assuming that happens, how Lando Norris chooses to position his car could have a significant bearing on who emerges in second place. He has Charles Leclerc alongside him on the outside and team mate Oscar Piastri immediately behind him in third place.
Last year Piastri started on the outside and had to fend off a bold attack from Carlos Sainz Jnr, which left the Ferrari driver with a puncture. This year Piastri’s best chance of getting past Leclerc could come at the start.
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Strategy
Teams will have to rethink their tactics for the race as Formula 1 has introduced new regulations for the Monaco Grand Prix requiring them to use three sets of tyres instead of the usual two. The full details of the rule changes, the effects they could have on strategy and the possibility teams may exploit the new rules were covered in detail here earlier:
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Last year drivers chose the following compounds to start the race on:
Pos. | Driver | Team | Tyre compound |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | Medium |
2 | Oscar Piastri | McLaren-Mercedes | Medium |
3 | Carlos Sainz Jnr | Ferrari | Medium |
4 | Lando Norris | McLaren-Mercedes | Medium |
5 | George Russell | Mercedes | Hard |
6 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT | Hard |
7 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes | Hard |
8 | Yuki Tsunoda | RB-Honda RBPT | Medium |
9 | Alexander Albon | Williams-Mercedes | Medium |
10 | Pierre Gasly | Alpine-Renault | Hard |
11 | Esteban Ocon | Alpine-Renault | Hard |
12 | Daniel Ricciardo | RB-Honda RBPT | Medium |
13 | Lance Stroll | Aston Martin-Mercedes | Hard |
14 | Fernando Alonso | Aston Martin-Mercedes | Hard |
15 | Logan Sargeant | Williams-Mercedes | Hard |
16 | Sergio Perez | Red Bull-Honda RBPT | Hard |
17 | Valtteri Bottas | Sauber-Ferrari | Hard |
18 | Zhou Guanyu | Sauber-Ferrari | Medium |
19 | Nico Hulkenberg | Haas-Ferrari | Medium |
20 | Kevin Magnussen | Haas-Ferrari | Hard |
A pit stop takes around 19 seconds.
The drivers have the following sets of dry weather tyres available for the grand prix:
Tyres available for the race | Hard | Medium | Soft | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Driver | New | Used | New | Used | New | Used |
Lando Norris | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Charles Leclerc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Oscar Piastri | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Lewis Hamilton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Max Verstappen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Isack Hadjar | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Fernando Alonso | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Esteban Ocon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Liam Lawson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Alexander Albon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Carlos Sainz Jnr | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Yuki Tsunoda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Nico Hulkenberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
George Russell | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Gabriel Bortoleto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Oliver Bearman | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Pierre Gasly | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Lance Stroll | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Franco Colapinto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
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Overtaking
Passing is, of course, extremely difficult in Monaco. The new rules introduced for this year may lead to more situations where we see drivers on fresh tyres being held up by rivals tactically reducing their speed to help a team mate. But as we’ve seen many times in the past, drivers can lap far below the maximum pace in Monaco without any danger of being passed.
The stewards have already dished out one penalty point for a collision this weekend.
Speed trap
P. | # | Driver | Car | Engine | Model | Max kph (mph) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 23 | Alexander Albon | Williams | Mercedes | FW47 | 282.8 (175.7) |
2 | 16 | Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | Ferrari | SF-25 | 282.7 (175.7) |
3 | 27 | Nico Hulkenberg | Sauber | Ferrari | C45 | 282.7 (175.7) |
4 | 44 | Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari | Ferrari | SF-25 | 282.7 (175.7) |
5 | 63 | George Russell | Mercedes | Mercedes | W16 | 282.2 (175.4) |
6 | 31 | Esteban Ocon | Haas | Ferrari | VF-25 | 282.1 (175.3) |
7 | 87 | Oliver Bearman | Haas | Ferrari | VF-25 | 281.9 (175.2) |
8 | 18 | Lance Stroll | Aston Martin | Mercedes | AMR25 | 281.9 (175.2) |
9 | 81 | Oscar Piastri | McLaren | Mercedes | MCL39 | 281.6 (175.0) |
10 | 12 | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | Mercedes | Mercedes | W16 | 281.6 (175.0) |
11 | 30 | Liam Lawson | Racing Bulls | Honda RBPT | 02 | 281.5 (174.9) |
12 | 10 | Pierre Gasly | Alpine | Renault | A525 | 281.4 (174.9) |
13 | 14 | Fernando Alonso | Aston Martin | Mercedes | AMR25 | 281.3 (174.8) |
14 | 6 | Isack Hadjar | Racing Bulls | Honda RBPT | 02 | 281.1 (174.7) |
15 | 4 | Lando Norris | McLaren | Mercedes | MCL39 | 280.7 (174.4) |
16 | 22 | Yuki Tsunoda | Red Bull | Honda RBPT | RB21 | 280.7 (174.4) |
17 | 1 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull | Honda RBPT | RB21 | 280.6 (174.4) |
18 | 5 | Gabriel Bortoleto | Sauber | Ferrari | C45 | 280.3 (174.2) |
19 | 55 | Carlos Sainz Jnr | Williams | Mercedes | FW47 | 280.1 (174.0) |
20 | 43 | Franco Colapinto | Alpine | Renault | A525 | 279.9 (173.9) |
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Safety Cars
The possibility of a Safety Car, Virtual Safety Car or red flag in the race could have a significant bearing on the race, as many teams will be holding out for one in the hope of making a low-cost pit stop.
Last year a first-lap red flag allowed every driver to complete their mandatory tyre change immediately. But with two tyre changes now required, it would take two red flags to achieve that.
Grid
The grid for this year’s race is as follows. Any changes between now and the start of the race will be added here:
Championship implications
If the drivers finish where they start, Norris will slash Piastri’s points lead from 13 points to just three. Fernando Alonso and Liam Lawson are also poised to claim their first points of the season.
Over to you
How do you think teams will handle the unique rules for this weekend’s race? Share your views on the Monaco Grand Prix in the comments.
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2025 Monaco Grand Prix
- Norris predicts his Monaco pole record should stand “for a very long time”
- Bearman is right: Formula 1 should let Monaco be Monaco
- Wurz’s proposed Monaco track changes would make ‘1 to 5%’ difference – Sainz
- Bortoleto claims his “put him in the wall” radio message was taken out of context
- I deserved penalty, deliberate rule breaking ‘should never be allowed’ – Russell
MGus.ai
25th May 2025, 1:43
Given the propensity of teams and drivers making a ridicule of FIA regulations, I can only imagine that some teams will make a pitstop before lap 3.
Sincerely, if someone took crazy pills, one could even make them both before lap 10. The first by lap 1 or 2, then as soon there is enough gap to not be lapped, make the second one and hold track position to the chequered flag.
Jere (@jerejj)
25th May 2025, 5:59
Same, although no driver would be at the risk of getting lapped during the second pit stop if both were done by lap 10 unless the first stop is extremely slow or features a puncture beforehand.
Iosif (@afonic)
25th May 2025, 8:47
And then we get a safety car or a red flag you finish P20.
Esploratore (@esploratore1)
25th May 2025, 8:58
Exactly, I have a hard time thinking pitting immediately is a winning strategy, you give up track position, which is paramount.
MGus.ai
25th May 2025, 12:45
Yeah, the point is, if a driver already has a poor track position, then the gamble might be worthy.
If one is already expecting to finish 16th to 20th, trying something new is interesting.
Also, think about Sainz, he can expect to gain many positions on the track. So, he would at least have something to talk about in the post race.
Paul
25th May 2025, 3:29
I expect most drivers outside the top 10 to pit lap 1 or 2 then with the high number of Rookie drivers plus the like of Blind Man Stroll I fully expect at least 1 red flag for another change of Tyres.
It represents the best chance for drivers outside the points to be able to get into a position for points on a track almost nobody can pass on.
Jere (@jerejj)
25th May 2025, 6:00
The back-end starters are the most viable candidates for an early pit stop since they have the least to lose by doing so.
Tony Mansell (@tonymansell)
25th May 2025, 10:24
One wonders why you then need to watch. I’m just going to watch and find out what happens. Sport works better that way
F1 in Figures (@f1infigures)
25th May 2025, 11:47
@tonymansell This whole article is about what we can expect from the race and in this comment section people can express their views. No need to be rude.
Jere (@jerejj)
25th May 2025, 5:57
How do you think teams will handle the unique rules for this weekend’s race?
– I reckon at least some might do away with the first of their minimum requirement within the first five laps, even as early as on lap one or two, but we’ll see.
Jeanrien (@jeanrien)
25th May 2025, 7:43
Surely we’ll see a few cars pitting on lap 1 then try to catch back the end of the snake and wait until VSC/SC/red flag for the next change.
The front runners will probably aim for the opposite, waiting for VSC/SC/red to make their pit stops and hope to get 2 of them.
Kris
25th May 2025, 8:37
I’m wondering what red bull are planning to do.
They seem to have very few tires available.
Start on the soft and pit after a lap?
Esploratore (@esploratore1)
25th May 2025, 9:01
That’s a losing strategy for verstappen, he’d get stuck in traffic behind way slower cars, unless he’s able to overtake them like he did in 2018, but in recent times we’ve seen a lot less overtaking here.
Bullfrog (@bullfrog)
25th May 2025, 9:04
Hards, don’t stop, win by more than a minute!
F1 in Figures (@f1infigures)
25th May 2025, 10:57
Maybe they just switch back to an old set of tires. Or start on softs in the hope to gain a place at the start and then manage the tires like crazy. For Tsunoda an early stop makes sense, as he doesn’t have much to lose.
An Sionnach
25th May 2025, 11:58
Some interesting ideas here, already. It would be interesting to compare team notes on strategy. Do the teams that more consistently do well have more homework done? When are red flags most statistically likely? How long to wait before you are losing time by waiting any further? If a team chooses to go long or short and there’s little else to their strategy, they’ll be exposed when they go into unknown territory. Do the best race teams have a detailed strategy map in place, along with the ability to think on their feet? Red Bull holding their nerve last week comes to mind. They seemed to know that the surprise of Leclerc benefiting from the early stop wasn’t going to be the best strategy for Max.
I’d like to see a Lando win this time. He’s fast and should have the confidence to put it on pole more often than not and sail off into the sunset. That’s clearly more difficult this year, but he has the talent to do this and I don’t think it has gone away. Leclerc is possibly the best driver around Monaco. Might be nice to see him win a better race this time around.
Strategy for the front of the field? Start as well as possible, keep it clean and aim to be close enough during the pit stop window to gain one position. If the opportunity presents itself to gain at the start, go for it, but only if it’s a guaranteed opportunity (so where an opponent has been slow off the line). Not very adventurous, but at a track like this you have to learn to not be greedy. Yes, you could gain one position by taking a lot of risk. You probably stand to gain more by keeping it clean (Olivier Panis, 1996). No rain expected today, but the biggest chances to gain will be from red flags or, more generally, getting the two pit stops in at the right time. The pit crews will be important. The top teams, while generally good, have had the odd hiccup this year. This isn’t the place to drop half a second or more in the pits. Teams that do poor stops and consistently get strategy wrong like Aston Martin may suffer.
BLS (@brightlampshade)
25th May 2025, 13:14
The forced 2 stop has the potential to be interesting (unless safety cars / red flags force the issue). But it feels like a one trick pony. If they do it next season everyone will be more wise to how things will play out.
I’m willing to give it a chance, but if it is deemed a success then I worry about what that may mean for all races going forward.