Max Verstappen, Red Bull, Interlagos, 2023

Horner sure “field will converge” in 2024

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In the round-up: Christian Horner expects the grid to converge in 2024

In brief

Horner sure “field will converge” in 2024

Red Bull team principal Christian Horner says he fully expects that the grid will become more competitive than 2023, where they won all but one grand prix over the season.

“I think with stable regulations, we know that the field will converge,” he said. “We’ve seen that at different points during the course of the past year.

“We have to improve, we have to keep evolving. And I think all aspects of RB19 are being looked at to evolve into RB20 and hopefully make it even stronger because I’m sure that’s what our competitors will be looking to do.”

Hulkenberg wants “proper” low downforce spec

Haas driver Nico Hulkenberg says he wants his team to produce a bespoke car specification for low downforce circuits like Spa-Francorchamps and Monza.

“That’s a subject also for next year – do we invest more into a proper low downforce package,” he said.

“Because we have quite a few events now where we need a low downforce package. It’s probably like four or five events we’re that applies. So it’s quite a significant portion of the season.”

Mansell switches to ART

Christian Mansell will compete for a second season in Formula 3 in 2024 after moving from Campos to ART.

Mansell was 12th in the standings during his rookie campaign in the championship and raced with ART in the recent Macau Grand Prix.

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Comment of the day

With AlphaTauri changing its name to ‘RB’ – for now – Hotbottoms is beginning to get confused…

Do you think RB will have the same line-up in 2024 as they had in 2023, or will RB at some point promote one of their RB drivers to RB? And if one of the drivers from RB will be promoted to RB, will the dropped driver from RB move to RB or will they promote some other driver to RB?
HotBottoms

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Will Wood
Will has been a RaceFans contributor since 2012 during which time he has covered F1 test sessions, launch events and interviewed drivers. He mainly...

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31 comments on “Horner sure “field will converge” in 2024”

  1. Of course the F1 field won’t converge. They never have and they never will.
    The closest they ever get is the year prior to a major technical regs change when the big teams stop developing the existing cars early.

  2. I only hope for now.

  3. I think that’s too optimistic, every single person who follows f1 a bit that I know IRL thinks red bull was too far ahead to get any decent competition in 2024, and I can’t blame them for thinking that.

    1. Might turn out to be true, but (and it’s a bit of a hopeful but) there are some things about 2023 that need a bit more context. Ferrari dumped their team principal late 2022, arguably the worst in decades, but the 2023 car is still very much his project. Mercedes late 2022 surge led them to double down on their concept for the 2023 concept, but they changed that view early in 2023. So both of these major teams were running 2023 with comprised cars, leading them to fall back into reach of smaller teams like McLaren and Aston Martin.

      I expect (and hope) that in 2023, those two teams will make the biggest step. A bit like Ferrari did from 2014 to 2015. They had a wrong concept at the start of a new regulation cycle, and once they realised this and made the necessary adjustments, they got back to winning races the next year.

      1. Yes, that’s true, had they made the step aston made during the winter or mclaren during the season, red bull would’ve had competition, hope they prove me wrong.

      2. I’d hope so, but the fact that either team went into 2023 with the same promise of “surely they can’t mess up like they did last year” and subsequently did exactly that makes me less hopeful. So far, the Ferrari under Vasseur suffers some of the same issues the Binotto and prior teambosses’ Ferrari suffered from. Strategy still seems poor. Drivers still seem to question the team strategy (often succesfully, for some odd reason) from the car almost every race or two. So, lets hope this new chassis is going to be the major change, but I’m not hopeful there.

        Mercedes will remain to be seen, they’ve lost almost all of their senior personnel outside of Allison and Wolff and their replacements have been less than impressive. They still seem to make bad strategic calls, their pit stops are still amongst the worst of the top teams, and we’ll have to wait and see if they can finally build another good car. At least their problems seem less inherently structural to the team as Ferrari’s seem to be, so let’s hope they get it right. Even then, they’d still have to content with Russell and Hamilton’s inevitable implosion somewhere down the line, wouldn’t be surprised if that’s due next season.

        Maybe McLaren has a shot at stepping up though, good driver pairing, good senior staff, good atmosphere. I’d hedge my bets there over Mercedes and Ferrari stepping up, honestly. Aston Martin is still very much a team under development. They’ll be good enough, just like this season, but they need time to learn how to be a big team first.

      3. McLaren a smaller team?

  4. Best CotD for years.
    Makes more sense than half the others we have had ;)

  5. I’m fairly sure that the teams 2nd thru to 5 will converge but I seriously doubt any of them will get to RBR’s level next year as the gap is just too large. Bear in mind they were hardly pushed most of the season so we really don’t know just how fast that car was.

    Hopefully someone might jag a win or two but you can be sure that RBR will be aiming to go one better next year and win every race and I expect that they’ll go close.

  6. I don’t think the teams will converge. Max finishing 18s ahead in Abu Dhabi show how far ahead RB still are…and while other teams were still bringing updates for 2023, RB had already started working on their 2024 car way earlier than anyone else. The gap is too large for anyone to catch up. I expect Max to be winning most races in 2024 at a canter.

  7. Translates to: “everything is fine the way it is. Don’t change any rules over the summer”

    1. That is exactly what is being said here.

  8. I think with stable regulations, we know that the field will converge

    For how many years did Mercedes sing this tune before somebody caught up?

    I hope against hope that he’s right…

    1. Jonathan Parkin
      16th December 2023, 13:35

      As a comedy legend once said; “Well we have our hopes!”

    2. Nobody caught up. It was only when people were preparing to run 2021 as a repeat of 2020 (because the new regulations were postponed to 2022) that the FIA, at Pirelli’s request, suddenly mandated big changes to the floors of the car. Which turned out to really hurt Mercedes’ concept; something that neither Wolff nor the people at Mercedes realised in time.

      1. And even then they still had a great car, imo marginally better than red bull, it was enough to bring them down to earth, but only really 1 team could challenge them, it didn’t kill their performance like, for example, the 2005 tyre rules did with ferrari.

      2. MichaelN,
        There is also the qualifying mode ban in mid-2020 which was the result of Horner’s persistent complaints simply because Honda didn’t have one leveraging the powerful RB PR machine. This played a pivotal role in Red Bull Racing closing the gap with Mercedes.

        The ban not only deprived Mercedes of the capability to unleash additional power during critical race weekend moments like qualifying, race starts, and aggressive driving stints but also led them to compromise on performance by reverting to a less aerodynamically aggressive setup downforce wise. In the past, they could offset the drag penalty of such a setup with the extra power derived from qualifying modes.

        Additionally, there were the floor changes, which, whether intentional or not, had an adverse impact on low rake cars, and there you have it !

      3. Ferrari caught up in 2017 and 2018.

    3. “For how many years did Mercedes sing this tune before somebody caught up?”

      There was the scrapping of the token system and a major aero regs change for 2017 which allowed Ferrari to close most of the gap in 2017 and challenge for the title. People conveniently forget that Vettel led 2017 for most of that season and challenged as late as Singapore. By 2018, many analysts rated Ferrari equal to Merc or marginally quicker.

      1. Still 4 years

      2. @amam
        As you rightly pointed out, there was a significant rule overhaul affecting both aerodynamics and power units. This allowed Ferrari and Red Bull Racing to narrow the gap with Mercedes. Despite the rule changes, Mercedes maintained their engine superiority due to an early advantage.

        Now, with stable rules, frozen power units, and budget constraints in play, it seems perplexing how RBR could potentially lose their edge over rivals.

  9. it’s quite extreme that the race structure is still being dismantled in Las Vegas a month after the race! But i suppose that’s the weird priorities there. What do ‘strip workers’ do anyway? It’s probably not work as we know it, so perhaps it doesn’t actually matter

    1. if the layout were more organic like Monaco or Singapore, they could keep a lot of it up, and not detract from the ‘scene’. I personally think the people who run the race there seriously need to consider a track layout which features the landmarks of the area, and forget the ridiculous grand stands. If they want music artists than feature part of the race next to a ‘park’ or what ever that has those facilities already.

  10. People wanted PER sacked for his poor performance in the RB and he still finished 2nd.

    1. yes that’s what’s annoying!

    2. Not sure what you’re hinting at but it’s not impressive to barely finish 2nd in that car.

      1. He finished 50 points ahead. That’s not barely.

  11. Converge behind Red Bull is what he meant to add

  12. well they did start off by deciding to use their big landmark which is the Strip, and everything followed from there. And tbf it did have atmosphere didn’t it, massively in fact. It was all quite extreme, bold, wasteful and exciting. Bad and good all at once

  13. that’s a reply to pcxmac btw, on my phone the page is jumping around so much with the ads it got lost

  14. Silent but Deadly
    18th December 2023, 23:10

    Well I never believe anything Horner says. Although I hear he speaks highly of me, and you shouldn’t believe that either.

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