After setting the pace at the Hockenheimring on Friday, Charles Leclerc feared falling track temperatures and a sprinkling of rain on Saturday would help Mercedes turn the tables on them.
But though Mercedes did prevail on Saturday, it was for entirely different reasons to those Leclerc foresaw.Yes, the track was cooler, but it was still warm and dry. Up until Q3 Leclerc looked a serious contender for pole position.
But Ferrari haven’t missed a bunker so far this season, and in qualifying they hit two of them. Technical gremlins sidelined Vettel before he’d completed a single lap, then more problems prevented Leclerc from running in Q3. Yet again Ferrari snatched defeat from the jaws of victory, and yet again the prime beneficiary was Lewis Hamilton, who poached his fourth pole position of the year.
Following an overnight shift in the weather forecast, the rain failed to materialise. And the prospects of rain on Sunday have receded, though not completely. At the time of writing there is still a decent chance the race will at least start on a wet track.
If it does rain, we could be in for a real treat, as two of the sport’s most celebrated wet weather exponents are sharing the front row. Hamilton demonstrated his tremendous skill in damp conditions at this track last year as he won from the seventh row of the grid. As for Max Verstappen, who starts second, his bravura performance in the soaking wet 2016 Brazilian Grand Prix had the touch of true greatness.
The forecast rain brings with it the possibility we may see F1’s wet weather standing start regulations pressed into use for the first time since they were introduced at the beginning of 2017. This allows the race director to send the field away from the grid behind the Safety Car before ordering the race to begin with a standing start.
Go ad-free for just £1 per month
>> Find out more and sign up
If we get a dry race but a further drop in temperatures, Mercedes and Hamilton are going to look strong. However the ever-improving pace of the Red Bulls is not to be discounted. Verstappen, despite continuing turbo lag problems, was only three-tenths away in qualifying and the RB15 has been consistently stronger over a race stint compared to qualifying.
As for the Ferrari drivers, they can throw caution to the wind as they bid to climb the order. Leclerc is locked in to starting on mediums (assuming it stays dry) so he will have to make progress as best he can from 10th. Vettel, set to start last, has more options.
The midfield fight has been exceptionally close all weekend. However Kimi Raikkonen drove superbly in qualifying to lift his Alfa Romeo clear of it and come within a hundredth of a second of displacing Pierre Gasly’s Red Bull from fourth place. These two head a queue of seven different cars in as many positions, which bodes well for a fantastically close scrap for the second half of the points places, though the midfielders are unlikely to prevent the Ferraris sailing past in the DRS zones.
Whether Ferrari can do much better on that will depend on the weather. Last year Hamilton won from 14th after the rain came down.
Perhaps the fates are conspiring to allow Leclerc to avenge that lost Ferrari win? Or, in what would be the ultimate poetic justice, Vettel? But even if that was the case, Ferrari’s performance today gives little reason to believe the team wouldn’t find some way to squander the chance.
Advert | Become a RaceFans supporter and
Qualifying times in full
Driver | Car | Q1 | Q2 (vs Q1) | Q3 (vs Q2) | |
1 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes | 1’12.852 | 1’12.149 (-0.703) | 1’11.767 (-0.382) |
2 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull | 1’12.593 | 1’12.427 (-0.166) | 1’12.113 (-0.314) |
3 | Valtteri Bottas | Mercedes | 1’13.075 | 1’12.424 (-0.651) | 1’12.129 (-0.295) |
4 | Pierre Gasly | Red Bull | 1’12.991 | 1’12.385 (-0.606) | 1’12.180 (-0.205) |
5 | Kimi Raikkonen | Alfa Romeo | 1’13.066 | 1’12.519 (-0.547) | 1’12.538 (+0.019) |
6 | Romain Grosjean | Haas | 1’13.146 | 1’12.769 (-0.377) | 1’12.851 (+0.082) |
7 | Carlos Sainz Jnr | McLaren | 1’13.221 | 1’12.632 (-0.589) | 1’12.897 (+0.265) |
8 | Sergio Perez | Racing Point | 1’13.194 | 1’12.776 (-0.418) | 1’13.065 (+0.289) |
9 | Nico Hulkenberg | Renault | 1’13.186 | 1’12.766 (-0.420) | 1’13.126 (+0.360) |
10 | Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | 1’12.229 | 1’12.344 (+0.115) | |
11 | Antonio Giovinazzi | Alfa Romeo | 1’13.170 | 1’12.786 (-0.384) | |
12 | Kevin Magnussen | Haas | 1’13.103 | 1’12.789 (-0.314) | |
13 | Daniel Ricciardo | Renault | 1’13.131 | 1’12.799 (-0.332) | |
14 | Daniil Kvyat | Toro Rosso | 1’13.278 | 1’13.135 (-0.143) | |
15 | Lance Stroll | Racing Point | 1’13.256 | 1’13.450 (+0.194) | |
16 | Lando Norris | McLaren | 1’13.333 | ||
17 | Alexander Albon | Toro Rosso | 1’13.461 | ||
18 | George Russell | Williams | 1’14.721 | ||
19 | Robert Kubica | Williams | 1’14.839 | ||
20 | Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari |
Sector times
Driver | Sector 1 | Sector 2 | Sector 3 |
---|---|---|---|
Lewis Hamilton | 15.411 (1) | 34.572 (3) | 21.665 (1) |
Max Verstappen | 15.444 (2) | 34.713 (6) | 21.859 (2) |
Valtteri Bottas | 15.494 (4) | 34.701 (5) | 21.909 (3) |
Pierre Gasly | 15.458 (3) | 34.715 (7) | 21.954 (4) |
Antonio Giovinazzi | 15.710 (9) | 34.777 (8) | 22.249 (13) |
Romain Grosjean | 15.736 (13) | 34.877 (11) | 22.027 (6) |
Carlos Sainz Jnr | 15.658 (6) | 34.886 (12) | 22.069 (9) |
Sergio Perez | 15.763 (15) | 34.579 (4) | 22.277 (15) |
Nico Hulkenberg | 15.718 (11) | 34.824 (9) | 22.067 (8) |
Charles Leclerc | 15.597 (5) | 34.515 (1) | 22.033 (7) |
Kimi Raikkonen | 15.689 (8) | 34.545 (2) | 22.183 (10) |
Kevin Magnussen | 15.730 (12) | 35.001 (14) | 21.985 (5) |
Daniel Ricciardo | 15.664 (7) | 34.836 (10) | 22.184 (11) |
Daniil Kvyat | 15.791 (16) | 35.039 (15) | 22.248 (12) |
Lance Stroll | 15.712 (10) | 34.886 (12) | 22.548 (17) |
Lando Norris | 15.762 (14) | 35.279 (16) | 22.261 (14) |
Alexander Albon | 15.816 (17) | 35.341 (17) | 22.292 (16) |
George Russell | 16.176 (18) | 35.640 (19) | 22.810 (18) |
Robert Kubica | 16.200 (19) | 35.548 (18) | 22.841 (19) |
Sebastian Vettel | 57.411 (20) |
Speed trap
Pos | Driver | Car | Engine | Speed (kph/mph) | Gap |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Alexander Albon | Toro Rosso | Honda | 340.9 (211.8) | |
2 | Antonio Giovinazzi | Alfa Romeo | Ferrari | 332.1 (206.4) | -8.8 |
3 | Kimi Raikkonen | Alfa Romeo | Ferrari | 330.6 (205.4) | -10.3 |
4 | Lance Stroll | Racing Point | Mercedes | 330.4 (205.3) | -10.5 |
5 | Kevin Magnussen | Haas | Ferrari | 329.2 (204.6) | -11.7 |
6 | Nico Hulkenberg | Renault | Renault | 329.1 (204.5) | -11.8 |
7 | Romain Grosjean | Haas | Ferrari | 328.4 (204.1) | -12.5 |
8 | Daniel Ricciardo | Renault | Renault | 328.4 (204.1) | -12.5 |
9 | Lando Norris | McLaren | Renault | 328.4 (204.1) | -12.5 |
10 | Robert Kubica | Williams | Mercedes | 328.0 (203.8) | -12.9 |
11 | George Russell | Williams | Mercedes | 327.9 (203.7) | -13.0 |
12 | Sergio Perez | Racing Point | Mercedes | 327.7 (203.6) | -13.2 |
13 | Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | Ferrari | 327.3 (203.4) | -13.6 |
14 | Pierre Gasly | Red Bull | Honda | 327.3 (203.4) | -13.6 |
15 | Carlos Sainz Jnr | McLaren | Renault | 326.9 (203.1) | -14.0 |
16 | Daniil Kvyat | Toro Rosso | Honda | 326.5 (202.9) | -14.4 |
17 | Valtteri Bottas | Mercedes | Mercedes | 325.5 (202.3) | -15.4 |
18 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull | Honda | 325.5 (202.3) | -15.4 |
19 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes | Mercedes | 323.2 (200.8) | -17.7 |
20 | Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari | Ferrari | 171.9 (106.8) | -169.0 |
Drivers’ remaining dry weather tyre sets
Driver | Team | Hard | Medium | Soft | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New | Used | New | Used | New | Used | ||
Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Valtteri Bottas | Mercedes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Max Verstappen | Red Bull | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Pierre Gasly | Red Bull | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Daniel Riccairdo | Renault | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Nico Hulkenberg | Renault | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Kevin Magnussen | Haas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Romain Grosjean | Haas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Carlos Sainz Jnr | McLaren | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Lando Norris | McLaren | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Sergio Perez | Racing Point | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Lance Stroll | Racing Point | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Kimi Raikkonen | Alfa Romeo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Antonio Giovinazzi | Alfa Romeo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Daniil Kvyat | Toro Rosso | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Alexander Albon | Toro Rosso | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
George Russell | Williams | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Robert Kubica | Williams | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Advert | Become a RaceFans supporter and
Over to you
Will anyone prevent Lewis Hamilton from taking his eighth win of the season? Where will Leclerc and Vettel climb to from 10th and 20th respectively on the provisional grid? And who will win one of the closest midfield battles we’ve seen all year?
Share your views on the German Grand Prix in the comments.
2019 German Grand Prix
- 2019 German Grand Prix Star Performers
- Top ten pictures from the 2019 German Grand Prix
- Verstappen spins and wins Mercedes’ race
- Paddock Diary: German Grand Prix day four
- Kubica sets new record by ending eight-year wait for points
Adub Smallblock
27th July 2019, 23:21
What are the Vegas odds on Vettel taking himself, and at least one other car, out of the race in his frustration to get to the front?
Phylyp (@phylyp)
28th July 2019, 8:46
After Monaco, I’d say both red drivers are susceptible to red mist in Scuderia Red.
Blaize Falconberger (@)
28th July 2019, 9:00
I agree with you both and think that the red mist is down to the culture at Ferrari and the insane pressure the drivers get from the Italian press and the Scudaria. IMO.
At Ferrari you can’t criticise the team no matter how blatantly incompetent they are – if you do you’re sacked. The press/Scudaria also blame it on the drivers, no matter who they are. The drivers carry the entire load so I can understand their frustration. By contrast, at Mercedes, they compete, win and fail as a team – the burden is shared and it clearly shows in their work ethic and resulting performances.
Phylyp (@phylyp)
28th July 2019, 9:20
@timeslides – well said.
DaveW (@dmw)
27th July 2019, 23:27
Possible. All the more reason for him to pit for the hardest tire available at the end of lap 1. With any luck, by the time he comes storming up behind Kubica, it will be time for the back markers to pit or even a safety car may appear. Hockenheim has seen some wacky races.
Dane
27th July 2019, 23:32
Never underestimate Ferrari’s ability to shoot themselves in the foot the minute they have the advantage.
erix
28th July 2019, 3:48
Will they make another redemption be re-re-hire they last world driver champion?
Stephen Crowsen (@drycrust)
28th July 2019, 7:53
I guess Kimi wouldn’t mind being promoted back to Ferrari, after all he was their last driver to have won a race.
Phylyp (@phylyp)
28th July 2019, 9:22
I hope not. Kimi today seems happy and performing well at Alfa Romeo. Unless he specifically wishes to come back to the Ferrari pressure cooker, I’d say he’s better off where he is.
Rahim.RG (@rahim-rg)
28th July 2019, 9:27
Last world champion.
Last Grand prix winner😎
@HoHum (@hohum)
27th July 2019, 23:45
7 cars between 1′ 12.766 and 1′ 12.799, that’s a tight midfield.
Applebook
28th July 2019, 4:46
A significant part of a car’s performance is its reliability. Did Ferrari forget?
Mercedes has been almost bulletproof for years, and they’ve clearly sacrificed performance for reliability here just like in Austria.
NoName (@noname)
28th July 2019, 5:16
People forgetting that Lewis stood solid P1 in Q2, Leclerc couldn’t come close to Lewis’s time so even without the issues Ferrari had Lewis would be on Pole i am/was convinced.
MG1982 (@mg1982)
28th July 2019, 7:17
+1
Too many and too easy jump to conclusion that Ferrari is fav just because they topped FP1, FP2. Then, to hear again the BS that it was their race… just to lose it again. When, in reality, it never was their race. They topped the times in pre-season testing too, yet they didn’t look like a title contender from 1st race. Also, their race pace is worse compared to Quali.
Stephen Crowsen (@drycrust)
28th July 2019, 8:06
Charles topped Q1 with a time of 1’12.229. That shows he might have beaten Lewis to Pole if he hadn’t had his fuel problems.
daniel
28th July 2019, 5:34
I do not even rate Gasly interesting how close Gasly is the last 2 races to Ves. I love it, people were getting way too over there heads think Ves was the clear cut number 1 driver in F1. RedBull have obviosuly got a car that is comfortably faster than Ferrari in race trim and not much further behind Merc in the race trim. Austria proved how good Red Bull can be. Imo the best 2 drivers are Hamilton and Ves but no one could say for sure who is better.
danny
28th July 2019, 5:39
Gasly proving the Red Bull is an absoloute monster car you love to see it. He hardly smashed Hartley did he i remember after Bahrain being very underwhelmed with him he was the quicker but by no means was it crazy. And Hartley was woeful.
Stephen Crowsen (@drycrust)
28th July 2019, 8:14
Gasly seemed to believe he was entitled to “put the boot in” against Hartley … so I’m guessing he won’t object if Max does the same. No, Max has shown far more class and just left Gasly to flounder along.
Phylyp (@phylyp)
28th July 2019, 8:48
Max is probably busy looking forward at his competitors (and rightly so), and not backwards at the laggards.
It’s incredible to see how well he’s matured in his approach and mindset in such a short span of time.
Blaize Falconberger (@)
28th July 2019, 9:03
Max has had is head seen to I think, and it’s for the better. His character is gone from petulant to relaxed and his attitude is far less aggressive and a lot more considered. Remarkable to see.
Alex Bkk (@alex-bkk)
28th July 2019, 5:46
I’m a long suffering Ferrari fan. I’ve been through their best and their worst times in F1. These times are enough for me to wish Max the very best of luck for the sake of the sport.
dan
28th July 2019, 5:53
@alex-bkk) Forget who crosses the line 1st my friend and watch the whole grid we have had some classics this year. Austria and Silverstone have been superb races and Reb Bull are clearly close to Merc in race pace.
dan
28th July 2019, 5:47
Is Lance Stroll the worst F1 qualifier ever in dry conditions? Usually always out in q 1 if i remember correctly Massa in his last year made him look silly aswell?. Even Sirotkin was just as good, you have to laugh really.
Stephen Crowsen (@drycrust)
28th July 2019, 8:21
Lance made it into Q2 … just. You have to give him credit for not being happy with his current results and getting a good coach.
Dave
28th July 2019, 13:07
Stroll isn’t even close to the worst in F1 history. Back in the days of pre-qualifying, there were cars and drivers who didn’t even make it into qualy at all, plus lots who did, but weren’t fast enough to be inside the 107% cut off.
Jere (@jerejj)
28th July 2019, 7:31
Will anyone prevent Lewis Hamilton from taking his eighth win of the season? – No.
Where will Leclerc and Vettel climb to from 10th and 20th respectively on the provisional grid? 5th and 6th or 4th and 6th.
And who will win one of the closest midfield battles we’ve seen all year? Hopefully, Renault.
Stephen Crowsen (@drycrust)
28th July 2019, 8:24
Max is starting the race on Soft tyres, and he’s on the front row of the grid.
Mike
28th July 2019, 13:31
Interesting how no one has mentioned Max.
He’s good in the rain and has a lot of real estate in Hamilton’s head.
I think he can win here.
spoutnik (@spoutnik)
28th July 2019, 11:36
This is so depressingly accurate.